Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 152.793355 175.007452 199.856956 229.812412 265.072505 305.412895 355.281028
2025-11-02 122.486126 151.270095 186.409878 232.845772 293.159590 369.619794 475.118729
2025-11-09 105.373332 137.124208 178.337967 236.508907 317.717040 428.898464 595.851040
2025-11-16 92.282688 125.107847 169.828726 236.373435 334.898551 478.682462 710.645395
2025-11-23 82.222636 115.362004 162.393118 235.609238 349.683102 525.784640 828.753277
2025-11-30 75.051439 108.563380 157.892414 237.889181 368.486413 580.897627 969.204951
2025-12-07 66.603897 98.777803 147.580278 229.453917 368.456571 604.785384 1060.028840
2025-12-14 60.795536 92.314082 141.503883 226.751831 377.071242 643.956662 1185.430100
2025-12-21 56.975490 88.518934 139.136148 229.709720 395.550214 703.098454 1360.940789
2025-12-28 54.930222 87.332230 140.809879 239.674778 427.852876 793.007373 1618.898748
2026-01-04 52.348409 84.965336 140.177374 245.315373 452.667630 872.275254 1872.398667
2026-01-11 48.801618 80.607415 135.617461 243.060782 461.558469 920.203580 2065.182217
2026-01-18 46.396239 78.338003 135.102803 249.603691 491.788869 1024.836075 2439.004995
2026-01-25 43.695871 75.323007 132.990712 252.944841 516.457565 1123.875602 2835.390748
2026-02-01 41.372853 72.741963 131.363550 256.975994 543.293358 1234.032749 3301.305053
2026-02-08 38.815391 69.457638 127.994733 256.826906 560.502603 1324.432604 3743.074742
2026-02-15 36.450282 66.309235 124.541159 255.985894 575.892182 1413.761239 4216.443979
2026-02-22 34.650099 64.089090 122.713650 258.495131 599.977235 1532.502186 4837.414176
2026-03-01 31.918541 59.775666 116.128146 249.213345 592.385174 1560.105647 5147.724205
2026-03-08 30.004959 56.957678 112.423002 246.241152 600.958848 1637.652263 5681.127417
2026-03-15 28.778068 55.444224 111.362414 249.494745 627.067604 1775.780242 6522.898684
2026-03-22 28.239050 55.317018 113.313745 260.460556 677.025030 2004.478636 7875.144085
2026-03-29 27.364281 54.395330 113.387776 266.670646 714.503673 2203.006109 9211.760996